Match Analysis

Fagiano OkayamavsKashiwa Reysol

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

23%
18%
59%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawKashiwa Reysol win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
1.11Avg goals scored2.23
1.73Avg goals conceded1.90
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Fagiano Okayama xG

Expected goals

2.6

Kashiwa Reysol xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

2–3

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashiwa Reysol is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?

Fagiano Okayama have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fagiano Okayama Win23%
Draw18%
Kashiwa Reysol Win59%
BTTS76%
Over 2.580%