Match Analysis

Fagiano OkayamavsFC Tokyo

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
20%
69%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawFC Tokyo win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.20
1.36Avg goals scored1.98
1.44Avg goals conceded0.60
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Fagiano Okayama xG

Expected goals

2

FC Tokyo xG

39%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

15%

0–2

15%

0–3

10%

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

7%

Home

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?

FC Tokyo is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?

Fagiano Okayama have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fagiano Okayama Win11%
Draw20%
FC Tokyo Win69%
BTTS39%
Over 2.548%