Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy 1969
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.2
Cerezo Osaka xG
Expected goals
0.9
Tokyo Verdy 1969 xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
9%
2–0
8%
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
4–0
7%
4–1
7%
Home
Cerezo Osaka
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.3
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Tokyo Verdy 1969
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.7
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy 1969?
Cerezo Osaka is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?
Cerezo Osaka have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 J1 League meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 1, drew 0, and Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League