Match Analysis

Cerezo OsakavsMachida Zelvia

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
21%
67%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
0.69Avg goals scored2.14
1.27Avg goals conceded1.15
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Cerezo Osaka xG

Expected goals

1.9

Machida Zelvia xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

16%

0–2

15%

0–3

9%

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

Home

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

DDLDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?

Cerezo Osaka have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cerezo Osaka Win12%
Draw21%
Machida Zelvia Win67%
BTTS38%
Over 2.546%