Match Analysis

Cerezo OsakavsJEF United Ichihara-Chiba

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
32%
29%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawJEF United Ichihara-Chiba win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.00
0.69Avg goals scored0.98
1.27Avg goals conceded1.87
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Cerezo Osaka xG

Expected goals

0.9

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

15%

1–0

15%

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

2–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

DDLDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Cerezo Osaka is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?

Cerezo Osaka have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cerezo Osaka Win39%
Draw32%
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba Win29%
BTTS38%
Over 2.530%