Match Analysis

Avispa FukuokavsV-Varen Nagasaki

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
25%
28%
Avispa Fukuoka winDrawV-Varen Nagasaki win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.20
1.21Avg goals scored1.21
1.40Avg goals conceded1.65
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Avispa Fukuoka xG

Expected goals

1.2

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Avispa Fukuoka is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Avispa Fukuoka's current form?

Avispa Fukuoka have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Avispa Fukuoka Win47%
Draw25%
V-Varen Nagasaki Win28%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%