Match Analysis

Avispa FukuokavsFagiano Okayama

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
26%
35%
Avispa Fukuoka winDrawFagiano Okayama win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game2.00
1.21Avg goals scored1.36
1.40Avg goals conceded1.45
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Avispa Fukuoka xG

Expected goals

1.3

Fagiano Okayama xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama?

Avispa Fukuoka is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Avispa Fukuoka's current form?

Avispa Fukuoka have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Avispa Fukuoka Win39%
Draw26%
Fagiano Okayama Win35%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%