Match Analysis

VanuatuvsNew Caledonia

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

82%
11%
7%
Vanuatu winDrawNew Caledonia win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.60
1.79Avg goals scored1.01
1.39Avg goals conceded2.27
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.4

Vanuatu xG

Expected goals

1

New Caledonia xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

2–0

7%

2–1

7%

4–0

7%

4–1

7%

Home

Vanuatu

Vanuatu

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

New Caledonia

New Caledonia

LLWLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vanuatu vs New Caledonia?

Vanuatu is favored with a 82% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vanuatu's current form?

Vanuatu have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vanuatu Win82%
Draw11%
New Caledonia Win7%
BTTS61%
Over 2.581%