Match Analysis

UzbekistanvsSyria

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

88%
8%
4%
Uzbekistan winDrawSyria win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
2.24Avg goals scored1.00
1.37Avg goals conceded2.55
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Uzbekistan xG

Expected goals

1

Syria xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

4–0

7%

4–1

7%

5–0

6%

5–1

6%

Home

Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan

LWWLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Syria

Syria

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Uzbekistan vs Syria?

Uzbekistan is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Uzbekistan's current form?

Uzbekistan have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Uzbekistan Win88%
Draw8%
Syria Win4%
BTTS62%
Over 2.588%