Uzbekistanvs
Iran
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Uzbekistan xG
Expected goals
0.5
Iran xG
39%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
12%
4–0
12%
2–0
9%
5–0
9%
3–1
6%
4–1
6%
Home
Uzbekistan
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Iran
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.5
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Uzbekistan vs Iran?
Uzbekistan is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Uzbekistan's current form?
Uzbekistan have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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