United Statesvs
Mexico
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
United States xG
Expected goals
0.3
Mexico xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
14%
4–0
14%
5–0
12%
2–0
11%
1–0
5%
3–1
4%
Home
United States
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.9 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Mexico
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.8
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win United States vs Mexico?
United States is favored with a 94% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is United States's current form?
United States have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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