Match Analysis

United StatesvsCanada

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
37%
21%
United States winDrawCanada win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
2.93Avg goals scored0.98
0.71Avg goals conceded0.36
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

United States xG

Expected goals

0.5

Canada xG

23%

Both Teams to Score

17%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

25%

1–0

22%

0–1

12%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

5%

Home

United States

United States

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.9 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Canada

Canada

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win United States vs Canada?

United States is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is United States's current form?

United States have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

United States Win42%
Draw37%
Canada Win21%
BTTS23%
Over 2.517%