Ugandavs
Congo DR
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Uganda xG
Expected goals
0.3
Congo DR xG
22%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
21%
2–0
20%
3–0
13%
0–0
11%
1–1
6%
2–1
6%
Home
Uganda
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Congo DR
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Uganda vs Congo DR?
Uganda is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Uganda's current form?
Uganda have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from International Friendly