Match Analysis

TajikistanvsPalestine

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

6%
10%
84%
Tajikistan winDrawPalestine win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.03Avg goals scored2.80
1.61Avg goals conceded0.97
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Tajikistan xG

Expected goals

3.3

Palestine xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

10%

0–2

9%

0–4

8%

1–3

8%

1–2

7%

1–4

7%

Home

Tajikistan

Tajikistan

WLLDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Palestine

Palestine

WWDDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.8 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Tajikistan vs Palestine?

Palestine is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Tajikistan's current form?

Tajikistan have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Tajikistan Win6%
Draw10%
Palestine Win84%
BTTS53%
Over 2.578%