Match Analysis

South KoreavsUzbekistan

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
23%
36%
South Korea winDrawUzbekistan win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
1.47Avg goals scored2.24
0.96Avg goals conceded1.37
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

South Korea xG

Expected goals

1.6

Uzbekistan xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

South Korea

South Korea

WDLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan

LWWLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win South Korea vs Uzbekistan?

South Korea is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is South Korea's current form?

South Korea have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

South Korea Win41%
Draw23%
Uzbekistan Win36%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%