Match Analysis

South KoreavsUruguay

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
18%
54%
South Korea winDrawUruguay win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.47Avg goals scored3.83
0.96Avg goals conceded1.61
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

South Korea xG

Expected goals

2.7

Uruguay xG

81%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–3

6%

1–1

5%

2–1

5%

Home

South Korea

South Korea

WDLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Uruguay

Uruguay

WWLLD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.8 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win South Korea vs Uruguay?

Uruguay is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is South Korea's current form?

South Korea have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

South Korea Win28%
Draw18%
Uruguay Win54%
BTTS81%
Over 2.585%