Match Analysis

South KoreavsEcuador

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

86%
9%
5%
South Korea winDrawEcuador win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
1.47Avg goals scored0.00
0.96Avg goals conceded3.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.7

South Korea xG

Expected goals

1

Ecuador xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

4–0

7%

4–1

7%

2–0

6%

2–1

6%

Home

South Korea

South Korea

WDLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Ecuador

Ecuador

LLWDL

PPG

0.80

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win South Korea vs Ecuador?

South Korea is favored with a 86% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is South Korea's current form?

South Korea have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

South Korea Win86%
Draw9%
Ecuador Win5%
BTTS62%
Over 2.585%