South Koreavs
Ecuador
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.7
South Korea xG
Expected goals
1
Ecuador xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
8%
3–1
8%
4–0
7%
4–1
7%
2–0
6%
2–1
6%
Home
South Korea
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Ecuador
PPG
0.80
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win South Korea vs Ecuador?
South Korea is favored with a 86% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is South Korea's current form?
South Korea have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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