Match Analysis

SeychellesvsSri Lanka

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

13%
15%
72%
Seychelles winDrawSri Lanka win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game2.40
0.00Avg goals scored1.58
2.49Avg goals conceded1.04
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Seychelles xG

Expected goals

2.9

Sri Lanka xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–2

7%

0–3

7%

1–1

6%

1–4

6%

Home

Seychelles

Seychelles

LLLDL

PPG

0.20

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka

WLWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Seychelles vs Sri Lanka?

Sri Lanka is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Seychelles's current form?

Seychelles have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Seychelles Win13%
Draw15%
Sri Lanka Win72%
BTTS66%
Over 2.578%