Match Analysis

RwandavsKenya

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

70%
17%
13%
Rwanda winDrawKenya win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.20
0.00Avg goals scored0.00
0.00Avg goals conceded0.00
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Rwanda xG

Expected goals

1

Kenya xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–1

8%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

Home

Rwanda

Rwanda

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Kenya

Kenya

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Rwanda vs Kenya?

Rwanda is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Rwanda's current form?

Rwanda have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

PPG fallback model · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Rwanda Win70%
Draw17%
Kenya Win13%
BTTS58%
Over 2.568%