Rwandavs
Kenya
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Rwanda xG
Expected goals
1
Kenya xG
58%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
9%
2–1
9%
1–0
8%
1–1
8%
3–0
8%
3–1
8%
Home
Rwanda
PPG
2.60
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Kenya
PPG
1.20
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Rwanda vs Kenya?
Rwanda is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Rwanda's current form?
Rwanda have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
PPG fallback model · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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