Russiavs
Nigeria
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Russia xG
Expected goals
2.3
Nigeria xG
88%
Both Teams to Score
95%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
5%
3–2
5%
4–1
5%
4–2
5%
2–2
4%
3–3
4%
Home
Russia
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
3.7 / 1.1
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Nigeria
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
3.0 / 3.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Russia vs Nigeria?
Russia is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Russia's current form?
Russia have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 88%. Over 2.5 goals: 95%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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