Papua New Guineavs
Vanuatu
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Papua New Guinea xG
Expected goals
2
Vanuatu xG
58%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
9%
0–2
9%
1–3
7%
0–3
6%
Home
Papua New Guinea
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Vanuatu
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Papua New Guinea vs Vanuatu?
Vanuatu is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Papua New Guinea's current form?
Papua New Guinea have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from International Friendly