Match Analysis

Papua New GuineavsVanuatu

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
22%
57%
Papua New Guinea winDrawVanuatu win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
0.96Avg goals scored1.79
1.51Avg goals conceded1.39
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Papua New Guinea xG

Expected goals

2

Vanuatu xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

9%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Papua New Guinea

Papua New Guinea

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Vanuatu

Vanuatu

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Papua New Guinea vs Vanuatu?

Vanuatu is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Papua New Guinea's current form?

Papua New Guinea have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Papua New Guinea Win21%
Draw22%
Vanuatu Win57%
BTTS58%
Over 2.560%