Match Analysis

Papua New GuineavsNew Caledonia

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
23%
23%
Papua New Guinea winDrawNew Caledonia win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.60
0.96Avg goals scored1.01
1.51Avg goals conceded2.27
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Papua New Guinea xG

Expected goals

1.1

New Caledonia xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

10%

2–1

10%

2–0

9%

0–0

6%

0–1

6%

Home

Papua New Guinea

Papua New Guinea

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

New Caledonia

New Caledonia

LLWLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia?

Papua New Guinea is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Papua New Guinea's current form?

Papua New Guinea have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Papua New Guinea Win54%
Draw23%
New Caledonia Win23%
BTTS56%
Over 2.555%