Match Analysis

New CaledoniavsSolomon Islands

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
12%
77%
New Caledonia winDrawSolomon Islands win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.20
1.02Avg goals scored2.20
2.26Avg goals conceded1.73
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

New Caledonia xG

Expected goals

3.6

Solomon Islands xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

7%

1–2

6%

1–4

6%

0–3

5%

1–5

5%

2–3

5%

Home

New Caledonia

New Caledonia

LLWLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Solomon Islands

Solomon Islands

DDWDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win New Caledonia vs Solomon Islands?

Solomon Islands is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is New Caledonia's current form?

New Caledonia have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

New Caledonia Win11%
Draw12%
Solomon Islands Win77%
BTTS76%
Over 2.588%