Match Analysis

MoroccovsMali

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
53%
21%
Morocco winDrawMali win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
1.00Avg goals scored0.50
1.00Avg goals conceded0.50
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.4

Morocco xG

Expected goals

0.4

Mali xG

11%

Both Teams to Score

5%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

45%

0–1

18%

1–0

18%

1–1

7%

0–2

4%

2–0

4%

Home

Morocco

Morocco

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Mali

Mali

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Morocco vs Mali?

Morocco is favored with a 26% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Morocco's current form?

Morocco have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (45% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 11%. Over 2.5 goals: 5%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Morocco Win26%
Draw53%
Mali Win21%
BTTS11%
Over 2.55%