Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Mexico xG
Expected goals
0.6
Peru xG
27%
Both Teams to Score
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
22%
1–0
20%
0–1
13%
1–1
12%
2–0
9%
2–1
5%
Home
Mexico
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.8
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Peru
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.2
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Mexico vs Peru?
Mexico is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Mexico's current form?
Mexico have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 19%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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