Match Analysis

MexicovsPeru

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
36%
25%
Mexico winDrawPeru win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.40
0.47Avg goals scored0.47
1.79Avg goals conceded2.21
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Mexico xG

Expected goals

0.6

Peru xG

27%

Both Teams to Score

19%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

22%

1–0

20%

0–1

13%

1–1

12%

2–0

9%

2–1

5%

Home

Mexico

Mexico

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Peru

Peru

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.2

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mexico vs Peru?

Mexico is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mexico's current form?

Mexico have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 19%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mexico Win39%
Draw36%
Peru Win25%
BTTS27%
Over 2.519%