Match Analysis

MexicovsColombia

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

8%
28%
64%
Mexico winDrawColombia win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.00
0.47Avg goals scored1.02
1.79Avg goals conceded0.64
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Mexico xG

Expected goals

1.3

Colombia xG

19%

Both Teams to Score

22%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

26%

0–0

20%

0–2

17%

1–1

8%

0–3

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Mexico

Mexico

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Colombia

Colombia

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mexico vs Colombia?

Colombia is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mexico's current form?

Mexico have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (26% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 19%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mexico Win8%
Draw28%
Colombia Win64%
BTTS19%
Over 2.522%