Mexicovs
Chile
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Mexico xG
Expected goals
1.8
Chile xG
38%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
16%
0–2
15%
1–1
10%
0–0
9%
0–3
9%
1–2
9%
Home
Mexico
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.8
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Chile
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Mexico vs Chile?
Chile is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Mexico's current form?
Mexico have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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