Match Analysis

MauritiusvsSri Lanka

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
26%
31%
Mauritius winDrawSri Lanka win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.40
1.69Avg goals scored1.58
1.04Avg goals conceded1.04
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Mauritius xG

Expected goals

1.2

Sri Lanka xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

2–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Mauritius

Mauritius

LWLDD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka

WLWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?

Mauritius is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mauritius's current form?

Mauritius have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mauritius Win43%
Draw26%
Sri Lanka Win31%
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%