Match Analysis

MaltavsLiechtenstein

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

75%
13%
12%
Malta winDrawLiechtenstein win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.20
2.00Avg goals scored0.00
0.00Avg goals conceded2.00
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.3

Malta xG

Expected goals

1.4

Liechtenstein xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

8%

2–1

7%

4–1

6%

2–0

5%

2–2

5%

3–0

5%

Home

Malta

Malta

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein

LDLLL

PPG

0.20

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Malta vs Liechtenstein?

Malta is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Malta's current form?

Malta have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Malta Win75%
Draw13%
Liechtenstein Win12%
BTTS73%
Over 2.585%