Maldivesvs
Lebanon
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Maldives xG
Expected goals
4
Lebanon xG
82%
Both Teams to Score
93%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
6%
1–4
6%
1–5
5%
2–3
5%
2–4
5%
1–2
4%
Home
Maldives
PPG
0.60
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
Lebanon
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
3.4 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Maldives vs Lebanon?
Lebanon is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Maldives's current form?
Maldives have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 93%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from International Friendly