Match Analysis

MaldivesvsLebanon

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
11%
77%
Maldives winDrawLebanon win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.80
0.00Avg goals scored3.44
4.73Avg goals conceded1.54
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Maldives xG

Expected goals

4

Lebanon xG

82%

Both Teams to Score

93%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

6%

1–4

6%

1–5

5%

2–3

5%

2–4

5%

1–2

4%

Home

Maldives

Maldives

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Lebanon

Lebanon

LWLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

3.4 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Maldives vs Lebanon?

Lebanon is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Maldives's current form?

Maldives have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 93%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Maldives Win12%
Draw11%
Lebanon Win77%
BTTS82%
Over 2.593%