Match Analysis

JapanvsUruguay

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
16%
33%
Japan winDrawUruguay win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
2.48Avg goals scored3.83
1.00Avg goals conceded1.61
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.3

Japan xG

Expected goals

2.8

Uruguay xG

90%

Both Teams to Score

94%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

5%

3–2

5%

3–3

5%

2–3

4%

3–1

4%

4–2

4%

Home

Japan

Japan

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Uruguay

Uruguay

WWLLD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.8 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Japan vs Uruguay?

Japan is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Japan's current form?

Japan have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 90%. Over 2.5 goals: 94%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Japan Win51%
Draw16%
Uruguay Win33%
BTTS90%
Over 2.594%