Match Analysis

FijivsPapua New Guinea

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

69%
20%
11%
Fiji winDrawPapua New Guinea win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
1.58Avg goals scored0.96
0.93Avg goals conceded1.51
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Fiji xG

Expected goals

0.6

Papua New Guinea xG

39%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

15%

2–0

15%

3–0

10%

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

7%

Home

Fiji

Fiji

WWWLD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Papua New Guinea

Papua New Guinea

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fiji vs Papua New Guinea?

Fiji is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fiji's current form?

Fiji have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fiji Win69%
Draw20%
Papua New Guinea Win11%
BTTS39%
Over 2.548%