Match Analysis

FijivsNew Caledonia

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

84%
11%
5%
Fiji winDrawNew Caledonia win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.60
1.58Avg goals scored1.01
0.92Avg goals conceded2.27
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

Fiji xG

Expected goals

0.7

New Caledonia xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

11%

3–0

11%

2–1

8%

3–1

8%

4–0

8%

1–0

7%

Home

Fiji

Fiji

WWWLD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

New Caledonia

New Caledonia

LLWLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fiji vs New Caledonia?

Fiji is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fiji's current form?

Fiji have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fiji Win84%
Draw11%
New Caledonia Win5%
BTTS48%
Over 2.571%