Match Analysis

EgyptvsSouth Africa

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

58%
25%
17%
Egypt winDrawSouth Africa win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.40
0.00Avg goals scored1.00
1.00Avg goals conceded0.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Egypt xG

Expected goals

0.7

South Africa xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

16%

2–0

13%

1–1

11%

0–0

10%

2–1

9%

0–1

7%

Home

Egypt

Egypt

LWDLW

PPG

1.40

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

South Africa

South Africa

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Egypt vs South Africa?

Egypt is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Egypt's current form?

Egypt have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Egypt Win58%
Draw25%
South Africa Win17%
BTTS40%
Over 2.540%