Match Analysis

Cook IslandsvsTahiti

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

7%
24%
69%
Cook Islands winDrawTahiti win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.80
0.48Avg goals scored1.45
1.45Avg goals conceded0.48
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Cook Islands xG

Expected goals

1.5

Tahiti xG

20%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

25%

0–2

19%

0–0

17%

0–3

9%

1–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Cook Islands

Cook Islands

WLLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Tahiti

Tahiti

LWLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cook Islands vs Tahiti?

Tahiti is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cook Islands's current form?

Cook Islands have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 20%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cook Islands Win7%
Draw24%
Tahiti Win69%
BTTS20%
Over 2.527%