Match Analysis

Congo DRvsUganda

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

6%
23%
71%
Congo DR winDrawUganda win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
0.51Avg goals scored1.49
1.49Avg goals conceded0.51
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Congo DR xG

Expected goals

1.6

Uganda xG

21%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

24%

0–2

19%

0–0

15%

0–3

10%

1–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Congo DR

Congo DR

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Uganda

Uganda

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Congo DR vs Uganda?

Uganda is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Congo DR's current form?

Congo DR have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (24% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 21%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Congo DR Win6%
Draw23%
Uganda Win71%
BTTS21%
Over 2.530%