Colombiavs
Paraguay
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Colombia xG
Expected goals
0.7
Paraguay xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
18%
0–0
15%
1–1
13%
2–0
11%
0–1
10%
2–1
8%
Home
Colombia
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.6
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Paraguay
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Colombia vs Paraguay?
Colombia is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Colombia's current form?
Colombia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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