Match Analysis

ColombiavsParaguay

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
31%
21%
Colombia winDrawParaguay win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
1.02Avg goals scored1.48
0.64Avg goals conceded0.00
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Colombia xG

Expected goals

0.7

Paraguay xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

18%

0–0

15%

1–1

13%

2–0

11%

0–1

10%

2–1

8%

Home

Colombia

Colombia

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Paraguay

Paraguay

WWLWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Colombia vs Paraguay?

Colombia is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Colombia's current form?

Colombia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Colombia Win48%
Draw31%
Paraguay Win21%
BTTS35%
Over 2.530%