Chinavs
Tajikistan
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
China xG
Expected goals
1.7
Tajikistan xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
0–2
11%
1–1
11%
1–2
10%
0–0
7%
1–0
7%
Home
China
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Tajikistan
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win China vs Tajikistan?
Tajikistan is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is China's current form?
China have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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