Chinavs
Maldives
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.7
China xG
Expected goals
2.3
Maldives xG
84%
Both Teams to Score
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
6%
2–2
6%
3–2
6%
1–2
5%
2–3
5%
3–1
5%
Home
China
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Maldives
PPG
0.60
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win China vs Maldives?
China is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is China's current form?
China have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 84%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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