Match Analysis

CanadavsPeru

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

75%
19%
6%
Canada winDrawPeru win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.40
0.98Avg goals scored0.47
0.36Avg goals conceded2.22
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Canada xG

Expected goals

0.3

Peru xG

22%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

22%

2–0

20%

0–0

12%

3–0

12%

1–1

7%

2–1

6%

Home

Canada

Canada

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Peru

Peru

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.2

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Canada vs Peru?

Canada is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Canada's current form?

Canada have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Canada Win75%
Draw19%
Peru Win6%
BTTS22%
Over 2.535%