Canadavs
Chile
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Canada xG
Expected goals
0.4
Chile xG
24%
Both Teams to Score
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
24%
0–0
18%
2–0
15%
1–1
9%
0–1
7%
3–0
7%
Home
Canada
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Chile
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Canada vs Chile?
Canada is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Canada's current form?
Canada have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (24% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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