Match Analysis

BotswanavsMozambique

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
16%
65%
Botswana winDrawMozambique win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.40
0.00Avg goals scored2.00
2.00Avg goals conceded0.00
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Botswana xG

Expected goals

2.9

Mozambique xG

75%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

6%

2–3

6%

0–2

5%

0–3

5%

Home

Botswana

Botswana

LDDLL

PPG

0.40

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Mozambique

Mozambique

WWDLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Botswana vs Mozambique?

Mozambique is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Botswana's current form?

Botswana have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Botswana Win19%
Draw16%
Mozambique Win65%
BTTS75%
Over 2.583%