Match Analysis

AzerbaijanvsTajikistan

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
27%
29%
Azerbaijan winDrawTajikistan win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.40
1.00Avg goals scored1.03
0.00Avg goals conceded1.61
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Azerbaijan xG

Expected goals

1

Tajikistan xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

10%

0–1

10%

2–0

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

WDDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Tajikistan

Tajikistan

WLLDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Azerbaijan vs Tajikistan?

Azerbaijan is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Azerbaijan's current form?

Azerbaijan have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Azerbaijan Win44%
Draw27%
Tajikistan Win29%
BTTS46%
Over 2.540%