Match Analysis

AustraliavsBrazil

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

7%
9%
84%
Australia winDrawBrazil win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game2.00
1.52Avg goals scored3.07
2.55Avg goals conceded0.97
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Australia xG

Expected goals

4

Brazil xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

89%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

0–3

6%

0–4

6%

1–5

6%

0–5

5%

Home

Australia

Australia

LDLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.5

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Brazil

Brazil

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.1 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Australia vs Brazil?

Brazil is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Australia's current form?

Australia have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Australia Win7%
Draw9%
Brazil Win84%
BTTS69%
Over 2.589%