Match Analysis

Union St.-GilloisevsReal Sociedad

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

88%
8%
4%
Union St.-Gilloise winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.40
3.00Avg goals scored1.00
0.00Avg goals conceded2.00
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Union St.-Gilloise xG

Expected goals

1

Real Sociedad xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

4–0

7%

4–1

7%

5–0

6%

5–1

6%

Home

Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 0.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Union St.-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Union St.-Gilloise's current form?

Union St.-Gilloise have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Union St.-Gilloise Win88%
Draw8%
Real Sociedad Win4%
BTTS62%
Over 2.588%