Match Analysis

Union St.-GilloisevsLech Poznan

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

92%
5%
3%
Union St.-Gilloise winDrawLech Poznan win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.60
1.77Avg goals scored0.00
0.61Avg goals conceded4.00
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Union St.-Gilloise xG

Expected goals

0.6

Lech Poznan xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

11%

4–0

11%

5–0

9%

2–0

8%

3–1

6%

4–1

6%

Home

Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Union St.-Gilloise vs Lech Poznan?

Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Union St.-Gilloise's current form?

Union St.-Gilloise have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Union St.-Gilloise Win92%
Draw5%
Lech Poznan Win3%
BTTS44%
Over 2.584%