Match Analysis

Union St.-GilloisevsHapoel Be'er

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

74%
20%
6%
Union St.-Gilloise winDrawHapoel Be'er win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.60
1.77Avg goals scored0.62
0.61Avg goals conceded1.24
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Union St.-Gilloise xG

Expected goals

0.3

Hapoel Be'er xG

22%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

22%

2–0

20%

0–0

12%

3–0

12%

1–1

7%

2–1

6%

Home

Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Hapoel Be'er

Hapoel Be'er

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Union St.-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er?

Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Union St.-Gilloise's current form?

Union St.-Gilloise have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Union St.-Gilloise Win74%
Draw20%
Hapoel Be'er Win6%
BTTS22%
Over 2.535%