Match Analysis

TSG HoffenheimvsSK Sturm Graz

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
35%
35%
TSG Hoffenheim winDrawSK Sturm Graz win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
0.00Avg goals scored0.00
2.00Avg goals conceded0.00
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

TSG Hoffenheim xG

Expected goals

0.8

SK Sturm Graz xG

30%

Both Teams to Score

22%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

20%

0–1

16%

1–0

16%

1–1

13%

0–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win TSG Hoffenheim vs SK Sturm Graz?

SK Sturm Graz is favored with a 35% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is TSG Hoffenheim's current form?

TSG Hoffenheim have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.

PPG fallback model · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

TSG Hoffenheim Win30%
Draw35%
SK Sturm Graz Win35%
BTTS30%
Over 2.522%