Match Analysis

TSG HoffenheimvsLyon

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

10%
11%
79%
TSG Hoffenheim winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
1.23Avg goals scored2.62
2.61Avg goals conceded1.62
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

TSG Hoffenheim xG

Expected goals

4

Lyon xG

78%

Both Teams to Score

92%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

6%

1–4

6%

1–2

5%

1–5

5%

2–3

5%

2–4

5%

Home

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.6 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon?

Lyon is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is TSG Hoffenheim's current form?

TSG Hoffenheim have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

TSG Hoffenheim Win10%
Draw11%
Lyon Win79%
BTTS78%
Over 2.592%