Match Analysis

SunderlandvsJagiellonia Bialystok

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
23%
20%
Sunderland winDrawJagiellonia Bialystok win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
1.62Avg goals scored2.24
0.62Avg goals conceded1.38
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Sunderland xG

Expected goals

1

Jagiellonia Bialystok xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

6%

0–1

6%

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Jagiellonia Bialystok

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Sunderland is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sunderland's current form?

Sunderland have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sunderland Win57%
Draw23%
Jagiellonia Bialystok Win20%
BTTS53%
Over 2.553%